Trump’s Independent Voter Support Plummets: A Midterm Election Game-Changer?

Washington D.C., Saturday, 13 June 2026.
A new AP-NORC poll reveals a dramatic 18-point drop in independent voter support for President Trump since 2024, with approval now at just 25%. The decline spans key demographics, including younger voters, Hispanics, and non-college-educated independents—once a cornerstone of his coalition. Economic concerns and shifting priorities are driving the shift, erasing previous education-based divides. With midterms looming, this erosion could reshape electoral outcomes, as independents often decide close races. Business leaders and investors are watching closely, given the group’s influence on economic policy and market stability.