How Clean Electricity Is Replacing Fossil Fuels Across China's Economy

How Clean Electricity Is Replacing Fossil Fuels Across China's Economy

2026-09-19 global

Beijing, Saturday, 19 September 2026.
China’s rapid electrification has pushed fossil fuel use past its peak in eight of eleven industrial sectors, displacing over one million daily oil barrels through soaring electric vehicle adoption.

Industrial Electrification and Sector Peaks

China’s industrial landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, with fossil fuel use passing its peak in eight of the 11 industrial sectors tracked by energy think tank Ember [1]. Declines in fossil fuel consumption are substantial across specific industries, with usage down 26% in food and beverages and 52% in transport equipment since peaking, most of them since 2018 [1]. In light manufacturing sectors such as machinery, electronics, and textiles, electricity now supplies about three-quarters of final energy, indicating a steady deepening of electrification [1]. This shift is reaching harder sectors like metals smelting and non-metallic minerals, suggesting a structural change rather than deindustrialization [1]. Industrial value added per person continues to climb even as fossil fuel use per person has declined since the early 2010s [1].

Transportation and Electric Vehicle Adoption

The transport sector demonstrates rapid electrification, with electric passenger cars reaching 67% of new sales in June 2026 [1]. Electric truck sales more than doubled in 2024 and again in 2025, taking them to 26% of new truck sales last year [1]. Nine out of every ten electric trucks sold worldwide in 2025 were sold in China [1]. In 2024, China’s electric vehicle fleet displaced an estimated 0.4 million barrels per day of gasoline, up from about 0.1 million barrels per day in 2020 [1]. The growth in displaced oil demand is calculated as 0.3 million barrels per day over the four-year period [1]. Total avoided oil demand is now at or above 1 million barrels per day [1]. China’s new five-year plan for smart new-energy vehicles targets 70% of new car sales and 40% of new commercial vehicle sales to be electric, plug-in hybrid, or hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles by 2030 [2].

Despite the rise in electrification, China remains the world’s largest producer and consumer of coal, burning more than the rest of the world combined [3][4]. In 2024, China began construction on 94.5 gigawatts of new coal-fired power plants, representing 93% of all new coal construction globally [3][4]. According to the Energy Institute’s 2025 statistical review, China was responsible for 55.8% of global coal consumption and 51.7% of global coal production in 2024 [3][4]. Meanwhile, clean energy investment trends show volatility; China’s clean energy investment fell 36% year-on-year to $294 billion in the first half of 2026 [2]. The country’s share of global cleantech investment dropped from 52% in Q4 2025 to 39% in Q2 2026, a decrease of 13 percentage points [2]. China remained the world’s largest energy transition investor in H1 2026, outspending the EU by $100 billion [2].

Energy Security and Geopolitical Strategy

Electrification is altering energy security dynamics for China, an economy that imports more than 70% of its oil and has significant exposure to the Strait of Hormuz [1]. A structurally declining need for oil reduces exposure to supply shocks, providing a layer of security available to any economy dependent on imported fuels [1]. However, strategic analyses suggest China utilizes the Western “Net Zero” climate movement to undermine American energy advantages while maintaining its own industrial growth [3][4]. Western climate policies mandate transitions to solar, wind, and EV technologies where China dominates every stage of manufacturing and critical mineral processing [3][4]. According to the International Energy Agency, China accounted for about 80% of global manufacturing capacity for solar and battery inverters in 2025 [3][4]. Startups are leveraging these Chinese manufacturing ecosystems to supply hybrid inverters and automatic switching systems for communities in emerging markets like Indonesia [5].

Sources


Clean Energy Energy Transition