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National Forecasters Downgrade Key Republican House Seat in New Jersey Ahead of Midterms

National Forecasters Downgrade Key Republican House Seat in New Jersey Ahead of Midterms

Trenton, Saturday, 31 October 2026.
Major nonpartisan election analysts shifted New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District out of safe Republican territory this week, signaling unexpected late-cycle vulnerability for incumbent Representative Jeff Van Drew.