latest news in economy
S&P 500 Secures 17% Annual Gain as Market Adapts to Tariff Volatility
New York, Thursday, 1 January 2026.
The S&P 500 defied significant headwinds to close 2025 with an approximate 17% gain, marking its third consecutive year of double-digit growth. This resilience is particularly notable given the steep volatility experienced in April, when the index plummeted nearly 19% to the brink of a bear market following President Trump’s global tariff announcements. While equities rallied as the administration pivoted to narrower trade policies, precious metals quietly outperformed, with silver surging over 140% for the year. As investors look toward 2026, the market must navigate elevated valuations and leadership changes at the Federal Reserve, raising questions about the sustainability of this extended rally.
Natural Gas Futures Stall Below $4 as Record Production Offsets Winter Demand Chill
New York, Wednesday, 31 December 2025.
As 2025 concludes, natural gas markets remain locked in a volatility trap, with futures slipping to $3.94 per MMBtu on December 31, failing to sustain the psychological $4 threshold. Despite a bullish weather outlook—predicting plunging temperatures across the Midwest and Northeast into early January—prices are currently capped by record-breaking domestic production rates of 113.7 bcf/day. The most compelling narrative emerging is the tightening supply cushion; Energy Information Administration data reveals a significant inventory draw of 166 billion cubic feet, pushing stocks below the five-year average for the first time this season. This creates a precarious tug-of-war for investors: while an intensifying winter and robust LNG export demand (reaching 18.9 Bcf/d) support higher valuations, the sheer volume of output continues to dampen upward momentum entering 2026.
India Claims Fourth Spot in Global Economy, Overtaking Japan
New Delhi, Wednesday, 31 December 2025.
Official data confirms India has surpassed Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy, valued at $4.18 trillion. Fueled by an impressive 8.2% growth rate in late 2025, this historic shift places the nation on a trajectory to challenge Germany for the third position by 2030.
Trump Threatens Lawsuit Against Fed Chair Powell Over Renovation Costs
Washington D.C., Tuesday, 30 December 2025.
On Monday, President Trump escalated tensions with the Federal Reserve by threatening to sue Chair Jerome Powell for “gross incompetence” regarding the central bank’s headquarters renovation. While Trump cited contested construction costs as the primary grievance—claiming figures significantly higher than official estimates—the move has alarmed financial markets concerned about the erosion of the Fed’s historical autonomy. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan recently warned that markets would “punish” the U.S. if this independence is compromised. With Powell’s term ending in May 2026, the President indicated he will announce a successor in January, adding another layer of uncertainty to the economic outlook as investors weigh the risks of political interference in monetary policy.