latest news in economy

Stagnant German Economy Forecast to Grow Just One Percent in 2026

Stagnant German Economy Forecast to Grow Just One Percent in 2026

Berlin, Tuesday, 17 February 2026.
Despite a marginal forecast upgrade, the DIHK warns Germany is treading water, revealing that private investment remains alarming at 11% below pre-pandemic levels.

Goldman Sachs Chief Predicts Economic Shocks as US Deficit Reaches $1.9 Trillion

Goldman Sachs Chief Predicts Economic Shocks as US Deficit Reaches $1.9 Trillion

New York, Tuesday, 17 February 2026.
CEO David Solomon warns of inevitable shocks as the deficit hits $1.9 trillion, noting interest payments now exceed $1 trillion annually, signaling a looming fiscal reckoning.

Global Capital Shifts as Investors Look Beyond the US Market

Global Capital Shifts as Investors Look Beyond the US Market

New York, Monday, 16 February 2026.
Recent data reveals a stark pivot in global finance: the S&P 500’s dominance is waning as capital floods into Emerging Markets and European credit. With January alone seeing nearly $100 billion enter emerging economies following a massive 33.5% return in 2025, investors are aggressively diversifying away from high US valuations to capture growth elsewhere.

Japan Narrowly Escapes Recession as Domestic Spending Counters Export Decline

Japan Narrowly Escapes Recession as Domestic Spending Counters Export Decline

Tokyo, Monday, 16 February 2026.
Japan narrowly avoided a technical recession in the final quarter of 2025, posting a fragile 0.2% annualized growth rate reported this Monday, February 16, 2026. While private housing rebounded significantly and AI-driven demand boosted capital expenditure by 0.2%, these domestic gains were nearly erased by a sharp 1.1% drop in exports, exacerbated by ongoing tariff uncertainties under the Trump administration. The most intriguing divergence lies in the data: while real economic activity remains anemic, nominal GDP surged by an annualized 2.3%, driven by inflation and corporate profits. This disconnect highlights the precarious nature of Japan’s recovery, which fell significantly short of the market’s 1.6% growth expectation.

U.S. Productivity Growth Doubles as AI Enters Economic Harvest Phase

U.S. Productivity Growth Doubles as AI Enters Economic Harvest Phase

Palo Alto, Monday, 16 February 2026.
Analysis reveals 2025 productivity growth hit 2.7%, nearly doubling the prior decade’s average. This surge signals the economy has officially transitioned from AI experimentation to structural utility.

Declining Trust in US Dollar Emerges as Major Global Economic Threat

Declining Trust in US Dollar Emerges as Major Global Economic Threat

Beijing, Monday, 16 February 2026.
Zhu Min identifies fading dollar confidence as a critical risk, noting its share of global reserves has plummeted to 57 percent amid concerns over US debt levels.

MIT Study Uncovers Hidden Infrastructure Risks in Mainstream Stablecoin Markets

MIT Study Uncovers Hidden Infrastructure Risks in Mainstream Stablecoin Markets

Cambridge, Monday, 16 February 2026.
With monthly stablecoin payments reaching $2.1 trillion, MIT researchers warn of critical “hidden plumbing” vulnerabilities persisting in digital asset infrastructure despite the recent GENIUS Act.

Middle-Class Income Gap Fuels $4.7 Billion Plasma Sales Boom

Middle-Class Income Gap Fuels $4.7 Billion Plasma Sales Boom

Washington, Saturday, 14 February 2026.
Persistent inflation has created a startling shadow economy where middle-class households now rely on selling blood plasma to bridge financial gaps. In a telling shift, Americans earned an estimated $4.7 billion from plasma sales last year, driving collection centers to aggressively expand into suburban neighborhoods and college towns.

Tariffs Push Valentine's Day Spending to Record $29 Billion

Tariffs Push Valentine's Day Spending to Record $29 Billion

Washington, Saturday, 14 February 2026.
Tariffs drive spending to a record $29.1 billion, yet rising costs mask a retail squeeze. With rose prices soaring 16.6%, consumers are paying significantly more for romance this year.

Rising Tariffs Drive Record $3.6 Billion Gap in Import Bonds

Rising Tariffs Drive Record $3.6 Billion Gap in Import Bonds

Washington D.C., Saturday, 14 February 2026.
A record $3.6 billion bond shortfall—double 2019 levels—threatens supply chain liquidity, forcing importers to scramble for capital to clear freight amid compounding tariff costs.