latest news in economy

Easing Geopolitical Tensions Drive Sharp Correction in Oil and Gold Markets

Easing Geopolitical Tensions Drive Sharp Correction in Oil and Gold Markets

New York, Thursday, 5 February 2026.
Markets brace for a potential six-year low in prices as a U.S.-Iran diplomatic thaw erodes war premiums, pushing WTI oil forecasts down to a startling $52 average.

US Mobilizes Global Allies for Critical Minerals Trade Bloc to Counter China

US Mobilizes Global Allies for Critical Minerals Trade Bloc to Counter China

Washington, Thursday, 5 February 2026.
On February 4, 2026, the United States escalated its economic strategy against China by unveiling a preferential trade bloc for critical minerals. Vice President JD Vance proposed a coordinated system of price floors and adjustable tariffs designed to insulate allied supply chains from Beijing’s market dominance. This initiative, supported by the newly launched $12 billion “Project Vault” reserve, seeks to stabilize prices for materials essential to AI and defense sectors, which have historically been undercut by Chinese oversupply. While officials from over 50 nations participated in the Washington summit to launch the Forum on Resource Geostrategic Engagement (FORGE), the immediate market reaction was volatile, with critical mineral stocks dropping up to 7%. This move signals a pivotal shift toward managed trade to secure geostrategic resources.

Private Credit Faces Turmoil as AI Disruption Rattles Software Loans

Private Credit Faces Turmoil as AI Disruption Rattles Software Loans

New York, Thursday, 5 February 2026.
Fears of AI disrupting software models have rattled private credit, with analysts warning default rates could hit 13 percent—more than triple the rate of the high-yield bond market.

Zero Net Migration May Shrink UK Economy and Force Tax Hikes

Zero Net Migration May Shrink UK Economy and Force Tax Hikes

London, Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
New analysis projects halting migration would contract the UK economy by 3.6% by 2040, creating a £37 billion deficit that likely leaves the government no choice but raising taxes.

Investors Shift to Defensive Stocks as Tech Sector Stumbles Before Earnings

Investors Shift to Defensive Stocks as Tech Sector Stumbles Before Earnings

New York, Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
Wall Street sees a sharp rotation into defensive stocks. The tech sector faces pressure after Anthropic’s new AI tool sparked a selloff, leaving investors anxious ahead of Alphabet’s report.

Bank of Japan Begins Historic Shift by Selling Financial Assets

Bank of Japan Begins Historic Shift by Selling Financial Assets

Tokyo, Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
The central bank has officially commenced selling exchange-traded funds to normalize policy, a process Governor Ueda admits will take over 100 years to complete at the current cautious pace.

Treasury Secretary Rules Out Crypto Bailouts During Contentious Financial Stability Hearing

Treasury Secretary Rules Out Crypto Bailouts During Contentious Financial Stability Hearing

Washington, Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
Bessent explicitly rejected using taxpayer funds to “bail out Bitcoin,” clarifying the Treasury’s stance during a volatile hearing dominated by fierce debates over inflation and executive conflicts of interest.

Washington Revives 1980s Tax Strategies for Manufacturers

Washington Revives 1980s Tax Strategies for Manufacturers

Washington, Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
Policymakers are returning to Reagan-era supply-side economics, prioritizing manufacturing tax breaks and deregulation to stimulate growth. This strategic pivot includes a massive $12 billion initiative to stockpile critical minerals, betting on market self-correction to secure economic resilience against global competitors.

Mortgage Delinquencies Accelerate Faster Than Other Consumer Debt

Mortgage Delinquencies Accelerate Faster Than Other Consumer Debt

New York, Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
As of February 2026, a significant shift in consumer credit dynamics has emerged: the growth rate of late-stage mortgage delinquencies is now outpacing that of auto loans and credit cards. Data from December 2025 highlights an 18.6% year-over-year increase in severe delinquencies, signaling that the housing affordability crisis has migrated from prospective buyers to existing homeowners. This trend challenges the assumption that homeowners are insulated from economic stress, suggesting that rising non-mortgage costs—such as insurance and property taxes—are eroding household stability even among those with fixed-rate loans.

Bipartisan Coalition Warns Congress of Potential US Agriculture Collapse

Bipartisan Coalition Warns Congress of Potential US Agriculture Collapse

Washington D.C., Wednesday, 4 February 2026.
On February 3, 2026, a historic coalition of 27 former agricultural leaders delivered a chilling ultimatum to Congress: the American farming sector is on the brink of widespread collapse. This bipartisan group, including officials from the Reagan and Bush administrations, contends that the industry is buckling under a ‘chaotic set of policy circumstances’ rather than standard market pressures. The warning identifies a toxic convergence of aggressive tariffs, the defunding of critical research, and labor shortages intensified by recent immigration crackdowns like ‘Operation Metro Surge.’ Perhaps most alarming is the assertion that these systemic fractures now pose an existential threat to the national food supply chain. This intervention serves as a critical indicator that the rural economy has moved beyond cyclical downturns into a state of structural emergency, requiring immediate legislative action to prevent a catastrophic market failure.