latest news in economy

Thiel Capital Expands to Miami as California Debates Billionaire Wealth Tax

Thiel Capital Expands to Miami as California Debates Billionaire Wealth Tax

Miami, Friday, 2 January 2026.
Amid California’s debate over a proposed 5% billionaire tax, Thiel Capital’s new Miami office signals growing tension between Silicon Valley capital and Florida’s tax-friendly environment.

New Federal Report Audits National Supply Chain and Infrastructure

New Federal Report Audits National Supply Chain and Infrastructure

Washington, Thursday, 1 January 2026.
This comprehensive audit benchmarks national transportation performance, providing the essential data needed to guide economic analysis and strategic infrastructure investments for the year ahead.

S&P 500 Secures 17% Annual Gain as Market Adapts to Tariff Volatility

S&P 500 Secures 17% Annual Gain as Market Adapts to Tariff Volatility

New York, Thursday, 1 January 2026.
The S&P 500 defied significant headwinds to close 2025 with an approximate 17% gain, marking its third consecutive year of double-digit growth. This resilience is particularly notable given the steep volatility experienced in April, when the index plummeted nearly 19% to the brink of a bear market following President Trump’s global tariff announcements. While equities rallied as the administration pivoted to narrower trade policies, precious metals quietly outperformed, with silver surging over 140% for the year. As investors look toward 2026, the market must navigate elevated valuations and leadership changes at the Federal Reserve, raising questions about the sustainability of this extended rally.

Chicago Fed Forecasts 4.6% Unemployment Rate as Hiring Trends Stabilize

Chicago Fed Forecasts 4.6% Unemployment Rate as Hiring Trends Stabilize

Chicago, Thursday, 1 January 2026.
The Chicago Fed projects a steady 4.56% unemployment rate for December, while the hiring rate for unemployed workers rose to 44.72%, signaling resilience as the economy enters 2026.

New Federal Reserve Long-Term Inflation Data Challenges Consumer Fears

New Federal Reserve Long-Term Inflation Data Challenges Consumer Fears

St. Louis, Friday, 2 January 2026.
Updated Fed models predict stable 2.34% inflation over the next decade, sharply diverging from the 4.5% rate consumers expect, signaling a critical sentiment gap as 2026 trading begins.

Natural Gas Futures Stall Below $4 as Record Production Offsets Winter Demand Chill

Natural Gas Futures Stall Below $4 as Record Production Offsets Winter Demand Chill

New York, Wednesday, 31 December 2025.
As 2025 concludes, natural gas markets remain locked in a volatility trap, with futures slipping to $3.94 per MMBtu on December 31, failing to sustain the psychological $4 threshold. Despite a bullish weather outlook—predicting plunging temperatures across the Midwest and Northeast into early January—prices are currently capped by record-breaking domestic production rates of 113.7 bcf/day. The most compelling narrative emerging is the tightening supply cushion; Energy Information Administration data reveals a significant inventory draw of 166 billion cubic feet, pushing stocks below the five-year average for the first time this season. This creates a precarious tug-of-war for investors: while an intensifying winter and robust LNG export demand (reaching 18.9 Bcf/d) support higher valuations, the sheer volume of output continues to dampen upward momentum entering 2026.

India Claims Fourth Spot in Global Economy, Overtaking Japan

India Claims Fourth Spot in Global Economy, Overtaking Japan

New Delhi, Wednesday, 31 December 2025.
Official data confirms India has surpassed Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy, valued at $4.18 trillion. Fueled by an impressive 8.2% growth rate in late 2025, this historic shift places the nation on a trajectory to challenge Germany for the third position by 2030.

David Snyder Revealed as 'Mystery Broker,' Warns Bull Run Ends Within Two Years

David Snyder Revealed as 'Mystery Broker,' Warns Bull Run Ends Within Two Years

New York, Wednesday, 31 December 2025.
Identified as Mike Santoli’s source, David Snyder urges a defensive posture for 2026, warning that high valuations suggest the current bull run will end within two years.

Missing Economic Data May Be Masking the True Cost of Trade Tariffs

Missing Economic Data May Be Masking the True Cost of Trade Tariffs

Washington D.C., Tuesday, 30 December 2025.
The economy’s apparent resilience against tariffs may be an illusion caused by a 43-day data blackout, with significant structural costs expected to hit in 2026.

AI Investments Fuel 2025 Economic Growth As Analysts Weigh Bubble Risks

AI Investments Fuel 2025 Economic Growth As Analysts Weigh Bubble Risks

New York, Tuesday, 30 December 2025.
While Nvidia’s record $32 billion gains drive economic expansion, analysts warn the trillion-dollar race for AI infrastructure may be creating a precarious investment bubble.