Federal Reserve Chair Warns of Economic Strain Due to Tariffs

Federal Reserve Chair Warns of Economic Strain Due to Tariffs

2025-04-17 economy

Washington, D.C., Wednesday, 16 April 2025.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cautions that unprecedented tariffs by President Trump may lead to economic slowdown and inflation challenges for the U.S.

Understanding the Implications of Tariffs

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the significant impact of President Donald Trump’s newly imposed tariffs. These policy changes inundate the Federal Reserve with challenges not encountered in modern history. The tariffs include a 25% levy on aluminum and steel, 25% on goods from Mexico and Canada, a 145% duty on Chinese imports, and other extensive tariffs that may collectively slow economic growth and propel inflation [1].

Market Reactions and Immediate Concerns

The immediate market reaction to Powell’s statements was stark, with US stocks experiencing a sharp downturn. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 700 points (1.7%), while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell by 2.5% and 3.5% respectively, reflecting widespread investor anxiety over the future trajectory of the economy [1]. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.48%, and the 2-year yield increased to 3.97%, marking the largest weekly rise in yields in over two decades [4].

The Federal Reserve’s Strategic Response

Powell noted that the Federal Reserve is cautiously approaching future policy decisions, refraining from immediate interest rate changes until the full impact of the tariffs is clearer [5]. This ‘wait and see’ approach aligns with other Fed members’ perspectives to navigate the potential for stagflation — a combination of stagnant growth and inflation [2]. The Fed remains equally vigilant regarding its dual mandate goals: maximizing employment and stabilizing prices [2][5].

The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs, except for those affecting China, provided a temporary relief in market volatility, with indices such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500 posting gains [4]. Nevertheless, the U.S. economy faces lingering uncertainties. With consumer sentiment decline and inflation expectations at their highest since 1981, a cautious approach remains critical [4]. Economic reports suggest robust hiring activity, yet projections of mixed inflation rates maintain the pressure on the Federal Reserve to balance economic objectives carefully [5].

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